Premium Picks

Bounce Back Bank Builder

300♦
Game 4 Lock

Rockets at Warriors
10:00 Eastern

RECENT RESULTS
  • April 27: 500♦ Royals (+115) LOSS
  • April 26: 1000♦ Thunder LOSS
  • April 25: 1000♦ Timberwolves WON
  • April 24: 400♦ Pistons LOSS
  • April 23: 400♦ Celtics LOSS
  • April 22: 400♦ Thunder WON
  • April 21: 400♦ Pistons WON
  • April 20: 400♦ Thunder WON
  • April 19: 1500♦ Lakers LOSS
  • April 18: 1500♦ Heat WON
  • April 17: 800♦ Phillies Run Line (+120) WON
  • April 16: 500♦ Braves Run Line (+115) LOSS
  • April 15: 800♦ Warriors LOSS
  • April 14: 800♦ Cardinals WON
  • April 13: 300♦ Tigers (-105) LOSS
  • April 12: 500♦ Brewers (+150) LOSS
  • April 11: 400♦ Rays WON
  • April 10: 1000♦ Blue Jays (+100) LOSS
  • April 9: 500♦ Phillies (+115) WON
  • April 8: 500♦ Thunder WON


BETTING BASEBALL BASICS

Before we get started with baseball action, let's get a few BASEBALL RULES out of the way, for anyone new to my service this season. Remember these, because they won't change, and I won't waver with anything.

1. Let it serve as a reminder to get to the site early during the baseball season. If not, there is a possibility you will miss out on some games. Look at the schedule the night before, see if there are early games, and get in here early the next day in case I'm releasing an early play. There are no make-up days, so do not miss any plays.

2. We're in the first month of the season, so if you're looking for an abundance of Major Wagers - don't. It won't happen often. There are six months of baseball, and unless I see something completely out of whack, there won't be many monster plays this early in the campaign. Package players, do not get discouraged. It's called money management. And just because I'm up a lot with my other sports, that doesn't mean we jump in head first with MLB selections. We are starting an entirely new project, as the season begins.

3. Pitchers DO NOT always need to be listed. It's one of the more overstated comments I read annually. But the fact is, it's not always necessary. If I do not stipulate anything about pitchers, no need to write in to Customer Service. No need to double check. Pitcher scratched? Don't write in, either. Just follow the instructions. If a pitcher is listed and gets scratched, it's a NO PLAY. If pitcher(s) aren't listed and someone gets scratched - it's a play. I handicap pitchers, I handicap situations, I handicap travel patterns and I look for streaks - both losing and winning. Sometimes I ride win streaks, other times I specifically play against winning teams. I won't tell you why, that's divulging my own research tactics. Again, just follow the daily instructions for the next 6 months, and you will make money. Also, there may be times I am not insisting you list pitchers, but will include pitchers in the analysis. That's normal, because they're the pitchers of record at the time and they simply add to my thoughts, but the play may not be based on them.

4. I'm not big on Run Line releases. Go back to 2022, when I didn't release one all season in 2022. I may or may not release one this season. They've turned into a real sucker bet at times, which is why sharp groups won't play them. We've got pitchers on the clock and umps playing too much of a factor into the results, so don't expect much of them from me. I'd rather back a cheap favorite or $2 dog then lay a big number with an overpriced pitcher.

That should cover the basics, for now...


PRO FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP RUN SINCE 2006

Documented 15-4-1 Roll with my BIG GAME releases

SIDES 6-1 ... TOTALS 8-3-1 ... TEASER 1-0

Blank Checks (1-0) ... 3000♦ (1-0) ... 2000♦ (0-3)
1000♦ (4-0) ... 600♦ (5-1) ... 500♦ (2-0-1) ... 400♦ (1-0) ... 300♦ (1-0)
  • 2006 ... WIN: Blank Check Steelers-Seahawks Under 47
  • 2007 ... WIN3000♦ Bears-Colts Under 47
  • 2008 ... WIN1000♦ Giants +12' vs. Patriots
  • 2009 ... WIN1000♦ Cardinals +6' vs. Steelers
  • 2010 ... WIN600♦ Saints-Colts Under 56'
  • 2011 ... LOSS2000♦ Packers-Steelers Under 45
  • 2012 ... WIN1000♦ Giants-Patriots Under 53'
  • 2013 ... WIN400♦ Ravens-49ers Over 48
  • 2014 ... LOSS2000♦ Broncos-Seahawks Under 47'
  • 2015 ... WIN500♦ Teaser Seahawks and Under vs. Patriots
  • 2016 ... WIN500♦ Broncos-Panthers Under 44
  • 2017 ... WIN1000♦ Patriots -3 vs. Falcons
  • 2018 ... LOSS2000♦ Patriots -4' vs. Eagles
  • 2019 ... WIN600♦ Patriots-Rams Under 55'
  • 2020 ... WIN600♦ Chiefs Moneyline -125 vs. 49ers
  • 2021 ... WIN600♦ Buccaneers +3 vs. Chiefs
  • 2022 ... WIN: 600♦ Bengals-Rams Under 48'
  • 2023 ... LOSS: 600♦ Eagles-Chiefs Under 51
  • 2024 ... PUSH: 500♦ 49ers-Chiefs Over 47
  • 2025 ... WIN: 300♦ Eagles +1' over Chiefs


Pro Football Championship Winner # 15 of 20

Football Winner # 26 of 39

NFL Playoff Winner # 14 of 19
$1 Bettors up $5,100 my L19 playoff releases

300♦ NFL
Winner # 5 of 6

Big Game Line Mistake

Philadelphia (+1') 40-22 over Kansas City

MATCHED 300♦ NFL Winner # 4 of 5
Bengals (+6) in a 1-point loss at Baltimore (11/7)

Here is what I had to say about the EAGLES in 59:

I love the Philadelphia Eagles to end the Kansas City Chiefs' reign in the Super Bowl this year.

Let's put it out there, we all know coach Andy Reid and quarterback Patrick Mahomes have evolved into the new Belichick-Brady combination.

But we also know that latter duo took its lumps. To who? The New York Giants - twice.

Maybe, just maybe, the team that will get to the Chiefs while they ride these dynasty years also comes from the NFC East, that being the Eagles.

I think overall, based on power rankings, the Eagles have been the better football team. But this is a one-game playoff for everything involved, and I'm leaning on the team that is making its second Super Bowl trip in its last three NFL seasons, and this year is looking for revenge.

I know for some it's easy to believe the Chiefs are due to make history after big playoff wins against Houston and Buffalo. But I beg to differ when, again, you consider not only who is back to exact revenge from losing in the Super Bowl two years ago, but also the addition of Saquon Barkley.

Barkley has 2,447 rushing yards this season, including 442 rushing yards this postseason – the seventh-most in a single playoff run all-time. Barkley led the NFL with 2,005 rushing yards during the regular season – the eighth-most in a season in NFL history – and will become the fifth player to lead the league in rushing in the regular season and play in the Super Bowl in the same season.

And remember, in Super Bowl LVII against Kansas City, Jalen Hurts set the Super Bowl record for most rushing yards by a quarterback (70) and was just the second player with three rushing touchdowns in a Super Bowl.

Philadelphia has 683 rushing yards this postseason, the fifth-most in a single postseason in NFL history. The Eagles have 39 rushing touchdowns this season, including 10 postseason rushing touchdowns.

It's not hard to conceive the Chiefs shouldn't even be here, and instead we should be talking a about the Bills. Sure, it's hard to deny how the Chiefs continue to play year after year, when they get to the postseason, finding ways to win.

But why not lend credit to the Eagles? Their dominating win over the Commanders in the NFC Championship was impressive, and I do think their playing with a different level of confidence.

The defensive units in this game will be the most impressive, absolutely. But at some point both teams will have to turn to a vertical threat, and that's where I'm counting on Philly's secondary.

But the player of the game for me just may be Eagles linebacker Nolan Smith, who has registered four sacks this postseason – two in the Wild Card round and one in both the Divisional playoffs and NFC Championship Game. Since 1982, when the individual sack became an official statistic, no player has recorded a sack in four playoff games in a single postseason. He will be the menace that makes like tough for Mahomes this season.

The fact of the matter is this is the best opportunity for the Eagles to establish themselves on the offensive side of the ball, especially if OC Kellen Moore is taking the Saints job, and I'm banking on a well-rounded effort from the Green Birds.
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Bounce Back
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300♦
Game 4 Lock

Rockets at Warriors
10:00 Eastern
$99
Lost my attempt at 500♦ MLB Winner # 9 of 12, as the Royals lost to Houston.

Bouncing back tonight with a 300♦ winner from the NBA, as I'm dialed in with the Rockets-Warriors clash in the Bay.

Bounce Back Bank Builder

300♦
Game 4 Lock

Rockets at Warriors
10:00 Eastern

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- and all Hockey Handicappers - 

do NOT release plays every day


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Chris Jordan's Rating System

 

Everyone should be on the same page for each new campaign and how to approach each season.

 

You first must understand the Kelly Criterion, sometimes referred to as the Kelly formula; it's a blueprint I like to use to maximize the long-term growth rate of our bankroll, using repeated gambles of the variety of ratings I give out.

 

That criterion says an aggressive gambler should wager a set percentage of his bankroll, pertaining to the advantage (or rating system in this case) he feels he has over the game itself.

 

For those of you who play blackjack when visiting casinos, you may do the same thing in determining there is a one percent advantage over the dealer, and wager 1 percent of the total bankroll.

 

The key thing to remember is determining the percentage your using, and the maximum you'd be willing to risk on the top rating you will find here, which is the 1,000♦ Power Play.


On a daily basis you will find my plays ranging from from 100♦ and 1,000♦, but well within percentages you can effectively spread your wagers. When you do see the rating system on plays upgraded to a higher level, I will always talk about managing the bankroll accordingly.

 

Remember, a 1,000♦ play does not indicate a specific amount for everyone in general, it means if you're absolute biggest play you're willing to make is a nickel - that is your gauge with this rating system.

 

You need only divide accordingly from your absolute maximum amount into whatever the rating is, based on 1,000♦ being the highest rating.

Overall, you will find that I like to keep it consistent day-to-day so you know exactly when I'm stepping out on a big play.

 

Please follow these ratings accordingly.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE:

 

The occasional 2,000♦, 3,000♦ or BLANK CHECK releases are games I feel are extreme value for the price, or in Kelly Criterion theory - is more of an advantage over the book.

 

I have always personally played a Blank Check game FIVE TIMES THE SIZE of my regular maximum bet. So, for example, on day I am releasing a Blank Check Winner, one 1,000♦ play and three 200♦ picks, a player with a maximum wager of $500 would wager the following:

 

Blank Check play - $2,500

 

1,000♦ Plays - $500

 

200♦ Plays - $100 each

 

With the vig, you would have a total of $3,630 in action.

 

Hope this helps in regards to money management!


Complimentary Baseball Winner

New York at BALTIMORE (9'o, -120)

~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~

My complimentary winner for tonight is the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles to sail over the posted number.

I check the weather during the MLB season, and tonight when these two offensive teams get together, we have a situation where the forecast is calling for "clear skies, comfortable temperatures and winds blowing out to left field will improve home run chances slightly in that direction."

That's music to my ears, because the Yankees have already hit 45 home runs this season, second most in the league. Tonight they get a crack at Orioles starter Tomoyuki Sugano, who's allowed six home runs in four starts this month.

And while Baltimore might be 10-17 to start the season, it's still a threat at home, where it ranks tied for fourth with 20 home runs. The O's face Yankees righty Will Warren, who has a 5.91 ERA after three road starts this season.

Look for a high-scoring game tonight.

1♦ OVER
Based on 1♦ to 5♦